Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.009910 0.011827 0.014175 0.017318 0.021504 0.027021 0.035085
2025-06-01 0.007231 0.009324 0.012198 0.016600 0.023514 0.034655 0.055748
2025-06-08 0.006100 0.008292 0.011547 0.017059 0.026941 0.045932 0.092527
2025-06-15 0.005223 0.007360 0.010716 0.016830 0.028974 0.056045 0.141080
2025-06-22 0.004454 0.006428 0.009647 0.015817 0.029018 0.062017 0.190443
2025-06-29 0.004041 0.005980 0.009271 0.015942 0.031480 0.076110 0.309282
2025-07-06 0.003777 0.005730 0.009179 0.016584 0.035471 0.099143 0.596552
2025-07-13 0.003627 0.005647 0.009367 0.017866 0.041910 0.140817 1.609707
2025-07-20 0.003426 0.005440 0.009276 0.018489 0.046930 0.187550 5.031262
2025-07-27 0.003201 0.005162 0.008990 0.018559 0.050293 0.235214 20.992560
2025-08-03 0.003012 0.004927 0.008757 0.018700 0.054115 0.300614 479.963590
2025-08-10 0.002793 0.004611 0.008305 0.018139 0.054910 0.346473 NaN
2025-08-17 0.002538 0.004221 0.007684 0.017099 0.053766 0.380293 NaN
2025-08-24 0.002332 0.003912 0.007210 0.016394 0.053934 0.440962 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002225 0.003787 0.007131 0.016845 0.060198 0.660669 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002090 0.003591 0.006858 0.016620 0.062914 0.870978 NaN
2025-09-14 0.001927 0.003324 0.006382 0.015624 0.060544 0.928164 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001840 0.003206 0.006252 0.015748 0.065260 1.380405 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001786 0.003151 0.006267 0.016378 0.074322 2.656153 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001761 0.003158 0.006436 0.017638 0.090539 8.601274 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001710 0.003100 0.006431 0.018250 0.103112 31.994942 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001641 0.003000 0.006299 0.018319 0.111048 148.511411 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001581 0.002912 0.006190 0.018458 0.120535 10367.895403 NaN